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Terence “Bud” Crawford will defend his WBO welterweight belt and third overall pound-to-pound standings against former welterweight Kell “Special K” Brook on Saturday at MGM Grand Bubble in Las Vegas on ESPN (10am. M. ET).
Crawford (36-0, 27 KO) has not been in the ring since defeating Egidijus Kavaliauskas nearly a year ago, while Brook (39-2, 27 KO) last saw it in February..
Crawford has been fighting bigger battles than President Bob Arum since winning the welterweight belt, and it can be said that Brooke will be the strongest fighter he has faced in the 147-pound weight class..
Crawford’s noble place in the boxing world is beyond doubt and the standards support him. However, as a middleweight, Bud’s biography is a bit incomplete. Crawford’s talent is undeniable, but he has not been given many opportunities to prove how good he is against the best teams in the league due to boxing bureaucracy..
Brook appears to be the high-profile opponent that Crawford was hoping to face, even if some Bud fans reject the lesser welterweight.
Special K proved his strength as he climbed into two weight classes to face the then unbeaten Gennadiy Golovkin at Middleweight in 2016 – a fight that gave him his first professional loss by knockout and fracture of his eye socket.
Brooke followed that fight by losing his welterweight belt from the NFL to Errol Spence Jr.. In 2017, which also came by knockout. Brooke has since come back, winning three straight welterweight fights, albeit against less competition..
However, Brooke believes his size will be the difference in this fight and that he can bully Crawford around the ring.. This will be a tough mission against Crawford, who is among the most skilled fighters alive.
According to CompuBox data, Crawford ranks 5th in their plus / minus rating (13. 9), which is the difference between the fighter’s contact ratio and the opponent’s call rate. This number is backed by 47. The connection rate is 6%, the second highest among all CompuBox tracked fighters.
Crawford did a great job using his 74-inch reach and a powerful punch early in fights to find range against his opponents. His ability to switch stances while fighting is another feature of the Bud toolbox that forces opponents to make adjustments.
One of the most impressive aspects of Crawford’s game is his ability to slowly build up his production during combat. Considering his four fights as a middle weight, an average Crawford punch jumped from 11. 5 in rounds 1-3 to 15. 5 in rounds 4-6, then increased again to 19. 5 in rounds 7-9.
It also has devastating finishing power. Bud’s previous seven opponents have lost due to stoppage and odds makers believe the streak may continue with the odds of Crawford claiming a KO / TKO win listed at -250.
As usual, the odds for a moneyline on your favorites are too high to take into account. While I think Brooke has a better chance of winning than 12. 5% of the odds are implied that I don’t think 7-1 is enough to shoot a Special K.
Crawford’s motive will be the possibility of facing Spence or Manny Pacquiao if he manages to win, but I don’t expect him to ignore Brooke here.. I expect Bud to start out as Brooke starts to go downhill.
Once you smell Crawford’s blood, the finish isn’t too far away. I like this fight to end between rounds 7 and 12.
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