Miguel Medina / AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Lille star Yusuf Yavici celebrates his goal with teammates.
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Drama and tension should be the dominant themes on Thursday when Lille host AC Milan in an all-important Europa League game in France.
Both clubs are fighting for control of Group H in European competition, with the Ligue 1 team just one point ahead of their Italian guest.
The last time these teams met, Lille scored a convincing but somewhat surprising 3-0 triumph on the road at San Siro. Yusuf Yazıcı recorded the hat trick in the router that put Les Dogues at the top of the group standings.
With that said, let’s watch this match and see what might be on deck.
Things couldn’t go better for the French powerhouse entering this game at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Les Dogues, who beat Lorient 4-0 last weekend, are unbeaten in the group game. Lille also competes in Ligue 1 and is two points behind the European juggernaut Paris Saint-Germain in second place in the table with 20 teams.
The club’s only mistake in the European game was a 2-2 draw against Celtic in the second game of the competition.
Manager Christophe Galtier has his outfit in top form as he knows that a win at this last meeting with AC Milan would get her well on the way to the knockout phase of the tournament.
If you look at the data and statistics, Lille really couldn’t do much better on the grand scheme of things. Les Dogues have an excellent 6. 4 expected goals and even more impressive 1. 8 expected goals against to generate a 4. 6 xGDiff and 1. 51 xGDiff / 90 minutes.
As you will see below, Lille has much better metrics across the board when they face AC Milan in all categories.
Expected goals (also known as xG) is an expanded statistic that provides information on whether the results are based on sustainable factors such as the constant creation of goal chances or whether they are aspects such as luck or excellent goalkeepers.
The Rossoneri won a huge 3-1 win over Napoli in Serie A at the weekend. However, this victory came at an extremely high price.
AC Milan star Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who scored a brace in the game (two goals), suffered a thigh injury in the win and will be out for up to a month. That is a brutal loss for the club entering into this affair with first place essentially up for grabs.
Only time will tell if the Rossoneri can adapt and have success with their marquee player. Unfortunately, they had little time to prepare for life without Ibrahimovic entering this game against a very formidable team from Lille.
AC Milan have some very respectable stats compared to their French counterparts. The Rossoneri sit on the 4th. 7 expected goals and 2. 9 expected goals against, resulting in a 1. 8 xGDiff and 0. 61 xGDiff / 90 minutes.
These are also very good in a big way, but still far behind Lille across the board.
The last time these teams met, I supported AC Milan and took a bath in that game. Lille absolutely deserved this win on Italian soil and I’m not afraid to admit I underestimated the club in this game.
With this in mind, I will not make the same mistake twice and will support Les Dogues with the draw no bet. Simply put, Lille are in better shape and need to be even more confident of getting a result if Ibrahimovic misses this crucial showdown.
On top of that, Lille played three straight clean sheets against AC Milan and I like this game even more.
I will also sprinkle a little on Yazıcı to score at a reasonable price. Not only did he light up AC Milan last time, but he was also in top form in all competitions.
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A. . C.. . Milan, Lille OSC, Zlatan Ibrahimović, UEFA Europa League, France Ligue 1, Stefano Pioli
World news – GB – Lille vs.. . AC Milan: Bench on Les Dogues to fend off Italians
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